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Trader's Diary

Economic calendar

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Definition of terms:
Earnings

Earnings

refer to the profits or net income generated by a company during a specific period.

  • Earnings are a measure of a company's financial performance and are often reported on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Positive earnings indicate that a company has made a profit, while negative earnings indicate a loss.

  • Earnings can be influenced by various factors, such as revenue, expenses, taxes, and other financial activities.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Actual

Actual refers to the real or current value or result of something. In the context of IPOs, actual can refer to the actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO, as opposed to the estimated price or number of shares.

Estimate

Estimate refers to a prediction or approximation of something, such as the expected price or number of shares in an IPO. Estimates are often made by investment banks and analysts based on market demand and other factors.

Difference

Difference refers to the numerical or percentage variance between two values. In the context of IPOs, difference can refer to the variance between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold in the IPO.

Percent

Percent refers to a fraction of 100, often used to express a proportion or rate. In the context of IPOs, percent can be used to express the difference between the estimated and actual price or number of shares sold as a percentage of the estimated value.

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IPOs

IPOs (Initial Public Offerings):

An IPO occurs when a private company sells its stock to the public for the first time to raise capital or money.

The money raised from an IPO can be used for various purposes, such as paying down debt, investing in the company's long-term health, research and development, expanding into new product lines, or purchasing fixed assets.

During the IPO process, the equity shares of private investors

convert into publicly owned shares of the new entity, and early investors may sell their stock once the company's shares begin trading.

The chief benefit of an IPO is to help the company raise money and gain access to the capital markets, allowing for expansion and increasing credibility.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Name

The name is the official name of the company whose shares are being offered in the IPO.

Exchange

The exchange is the stock exchange where the company's shares are listed and traded. Examples of stock exchanges include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.

Currency

The currency is the type of currency in which the company's shares are priced and traded. This can vary depending on the country and stock exchange where the company is listed.

Start date

The start date is the date on which the company's shares begin trading on the stock exchange after the IPO.

Offer price

The offer price is the price at which the company's shares are initially offered to the public in the IPO. This price is set by the company and its underwriters based on market demand and other factors.

Shares

Shares refer to the units of ownership in the company that are being offered to the public in the IPO. These shares can be bought and sold on the stock exchange after the IPO.

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Splits

Splits (Stock Splits):

A stock split occurs when a company increases the number of its outstanding shares of stock to boost the stock's liquidity.

In a stock split, the number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, but the total dollar value of all shares remains the same.

Companies often choose to split their stock to lower its trading price to a more comfortable range for most investors and increase the liquidity of trading in its shares.

For example, if a company decides to split its stock 2-for-1, the number of shares outstanding would double, while the share price would be halved.

Code

The code is a unique identifier assigned to a company's stock by the stock exchange where it is listed. It is used to identify the stock in trading and other financial transactions.

Split date

The split date refers to the date on which the stock split takes effect. It is the date when the new shares resulting from the split are distributed to existing shareholders. Optionable

Optionable refers to whether the stock is eligible to be used as an underlying asset for options contracts. If a stock is optionable, it means that options can be traded on that stock.

Old shares

Old shares refer to the existing shares of a company before a stock split takes place. These are the shares that will be exchanged for the new shares resulting from the split.

New shares

New shares are the additional shares that are issued to existing shareholders as a result of a stock split. The number of new shares is determined by the split ratio, such as 2-for-1 or 3-for-2, where shareholders receive a certain number of new shares for each old share they own.

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TSMC's Ascent Towards the $1 Trillion Milestone

Date: 19.6.2024

As I reflect on the dynamic shifts in the global semiconductor market, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE: TSM) stands out prominently. The bullish sentiment surrounding TSMC has reached new heights, driven by the company’s impressive market performance and its pivotal role in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) sector.

Market capitalization milestone

 

TSMC's stock has been on a remarkable rally, with its market capitalization nearing the $1 trillion mark [1]. Last week, TSMC overtook Berkshire Hathaway, becoming the eighth-largest company globally by market capitalization, based on its US-listed American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). This year alone, TSMC's ADRs have surged 73%, elevating the company's market value to an impressive $932 billion. The anticipation of crossing the $1 trillion threshold adds a layer of excitement for investors like me, who have been tracking TSMC’s growth closely.

 

AI adoption and technological leadership

 

One of the key drivers of TSMC's meteoric rise is its integral role in the AI revolution. The company’s cutting-edge technology has positioned it as a major beneficiary of the increasing adoption of AI. As the primary advanced chip supplier for Nvidia Corp., now the world’s most valuable company, TSMC has cemented its place at the forefront of the semiconductor industry. This strategic partnership has bolstered TSMC's revenue and enhanced its reputation among global investors.

 

Positive analyst sentiment

 

The optimism surrounding TSMC is echoed by Wall Street analysts, who have been raising their price targets for the company. The surge in AI-related demand and potential price hikes in 2025 are key factors driving this positive outlook. For instance, JPMorgan Chase & Co. adjusted its AI revenue estimate for TSMC to constitute 35% of its total sales by 2028. Similarly, Citigroup Inc. has increased its price target by 12%, citing a stronger earnings outlook. [1]

 

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has also expressed a favourable view, noting that prices for TSMC’s three and five-nanometer chip manufacturing are expected to advance by a low single-digit percentage. Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month price target by 19% to NT$1,160, reflecting its confidence in TSMC's future performance. In a recent note, Goldman analysts, including Bruce Lu, highlighted the attractive risk-reward profile for TSMC amid the growing positive sentiment around AI. They emphasized that with the ongoing proliferation of AI, TSMC is poised to be a key beneficiary. [2]

 

Conclusion

 

As an investor, the current trajectory of TSMC is highly encouraging. The company’s strong market capitalization growth, coupled with its strategic positioning in the AI sector, underscores its potential for continued success. The positive analyst sentiment further reinforces my confidence in TSMC's prospects. With the anticipation of crossing the $1 trillion market capitalization milestone, TSMC represents a compelling investment opportunity.

 

Reflecting on these developments, I am optimistic about the future of TSMC. The company's strategic partnerships, technological advancements, and favourable market conditions make it a standout player in the semiconductor industry. As TSMC continues to navigate the evolving landscape of AI and advanced technologies, I am confident it will deliver substantial returns for its investors.

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results

 

[1], [2] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

[1] Development of the TSMC shares over five years: https://tradingeconomics.com/tsm:us

Date: 19.6.2024
TSMC's Ascent Towards the $1 Trillion Milestone

As I reflect on the dynamic shifts in the global semiconductor market, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE: TSM) stands out prominently. The bullish sentiment surrounding TSMC has reached new heights, driven by the company’s impressive market performance and its pivotal role in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) sector.

Date: 12.6.2024
Apple's Surge to Record High: A Potential Investment Opportunity

Besides owning several Apple products myself, I'm also a big fan of the company overall. That is why I was very pleased with the past strategic steps. This week, Apple's shares surged over 7% to a record high, nearly reclaiming its position as the world's most valuable company from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT).* This impressive rally followed the unveiling of new AI features designed to boost demand for iPhones, showcasing Apple's potential for continued growth and innovation.

Date: 5.6.2024
Intel's Strategic Moves to Reclaim Data Center Market Share

This week has been particularly eventful for Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), as the company launched its next-generation Xeon server processors and unveiled its Gaudi 3 artificial intelligence accelerator chips. As an investor closely monitoring the semiconductor industry, Intel's latest advancements and strategic pricing decisions have certainly caught my attention.

Date: 29.5.2024
AWS Eyes Significant Expansion in Italy

In a strategic move to enhance its cloud computing capabilities in Europe, Amazon's computing unit AWS is reportedly in discussions to invest billions of euros in expanding its data centre operations in Italy. This potential investment is part of Amazon's broader effort to bolster its cloud offerings across the continent. Sources familiar with the matter indicate that AWS is considering either expanding its current site in Milan or constructing a new facility.

Date: 22.5.2024
Evaluating Transcat, Inc.'s Strong Q4 Performance and Strategic Outlook

As I have been following Transcat, Inc. (NASDAQ: TRNS) for a long time, the latest financial results for Q4 of fiscal year 2024 have been particularly encouraging. The company has reported a robust 13% increase in consolidated revenue, reaching $259 million. This growth is largely attributed to an impressive 11% organic service growth and a total service growth of 17%, underscoring Transcat's effective strategies in expanding its market footprint.

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